Author: Daniel snow

U.S. growth forecast cut further by OECD as Trump tariffs sour outlook

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Old Navy and Gap retail stores are seen as people walk through Times Square in New York City on April 9, 2025.Angela Weiss | Afp | Getty ImagesEconomic growth forecasts for the U.S. and globally were cut further by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development as President Donald Trump’s tariff turmoil weighs on expectations.The U.S. growth outlook was downwardly revised to just 1.6% this year and 1.5% in 2026. In March, the OECD was still expecting a 2.2% expansion in 2025.The fallout from Trump’s tariff policy, elevated economic policy uncertainty, a slowdown of net immigration and a smaller federal…

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China’s May factory activity unexpectedly shrinks, clocking its worst drop since 2022: Caixin

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JIMO, CHINA – MAY 21: Car bodies are assembled at a factory of FAW-Volkswagen Automotive Co., Ltd Qingdao Branch on May 21, 2025 in Jimo, Qingdao City, Shandong Province of China. Visual China Group | Getty ImagesChina’s manufacturing activity in May shrank at its fastest pace since September 2022, a private survey showed on Tuesday, as the decline in new export orders quickened, reinforcing calls for stronger stimulus to prop up growth in the tariff-hit economy.The Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers’ index came in at 48.3, missing Reuters’ median estimate of 50.6. It fell below 50, the mark that separates…

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‘be ready for disappointment’ as White House shapes market action

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CNBC’s Jim Cramer reviewed Monday’s market action, chalking up the day’s performance to expectations about the White House’s next move. He advised that investors prepare for turbulence, even as some on Wall Street continue to have optimism about President Donald Trump’s impact on big business.”We have to be ready for disappointment, because we’ve seen it over and over and over again,” he said. “This administration is perfectly willing to disappoint the stock market…to advance their agenda, and it’s foolish that you should believe otherwise.”According to Cramer, the past two sessions have been shaped by changing notions of trade relations between…

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Trump pauses Social Security benefit cuts over defaulted student loans

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The U.S. Department of Education is seen on March 20, 2025 in Washington, DC. U.S. President Donald Trump is preparing to sign an executive order to abolish the Department of Education. Win Mcnamee | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThe U.S. Department of Education is pausing its plan to garnish people’s Social Security benefits if they have defaulted on their student loans, a spokesperson for the agency tells CNBC.”The Trump Administration is committed to protecting Social Security recipients who oftentimes rely on a fixed income,” said Ellen Keast, an Education Department spokesperson.The development is an abrupt change in policy by the…

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The market is much more skeptical about stocks than recent rally shows

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This year has already packed a lot of action into stocks: an aggressively bullish start, a swift correction, and a full recovery from those April losses. But based on the the flows into the U.S. exchange-traded funds, where much of the daily trading action occurs across asset classes, the message coming through most clearly from investors is lingering skepticism about the strength of the U.S. equities market.May was a great month for stocks, with the S&P 500 Index up over 6%, the Nasdaq Composite up over 9%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average up roughly 4%. But making up for April’s losses hasn’t removed…

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